Abstract:

It is difficult to predict revolution due to the multidimensional factors that trigger it. The methods used to study revolutions, whether game theory or rational choice theory, have relied on a "proxy" variable, such as democratic transition, collective action, taste for revolt, etc. The purpose of this article is to contribute to this analysis and better understand the decisive factors of the Tunisian Revolution of 2011. In our approach, we carried out a discriminant analysis during and outside the revolution.

Keywords: Tunisian revolution, factors, the comparison test, governance